Monday, November 4, 2013

Opening Day FutureMed 2013 San Diego , CA

Day 1,  November 3, 2013
Hotel Del Coronado Ballroom

The conference area is unique, arranged in the round, with all the seats upholstered in white faux or real leather with embellished pillows and at the very front there are white leather bean bags!  All the posh seats are already occupied when I got there so I sink into a bean bag on the 2nd row near the center of the stage.  Whew, that feels good!  This must be the most comfortable seating I've had in any conference; its also one of the best seats in the house!  Now I just hope I won't fall asleep during the sessions (long sleepless journey to get there)

Session 1/ 1:30PM
Daniel Kraft MD,  Executive Director of FutureMed and Robin Farmanfarmaian, Founding Executive Director of FutureMed steps onto the stage.  They are good looking young people with high energy and tremendous intelligence. They welcome participants and talk about Futuremed conference agenda highlights.  They tell us we are invited to form a convergence innovation team with five other people we don't know before dinner for an innovation challenge workshop this evening!  The Un-conference evening which are unstructured informal pitch and discuss sessions sound exciting.

Robin leaves the stage and Daniel Kraft begins his presentation.

Rethinking, re-imagining, and recreating the future of medicine are what Futuremed is all about.  He says new thinking is needed instead of just thinking of medicine in terms of body parts.

Daniel is talking very fast and while I can comprehend most of what he says, I can't write every key point down because he just speaks too quickly.  He has a great deal of ground to cover in just a few minutes after all.  The scope of FutureMed is rather vast.

One of the main themes of Futuremed is the creation of disruptive products and industries within the health care space through the applied use of converging exponential technologies.

He talks about the plummeting costs of doing a full genome sequence.  Clinicians don't know yet what to do with all the information provided by a complete genome sequence however.  This is a gap that must be filled somehow in the years to come.  Some other areas of interest:

Clinical data:Imagery
Microbial Scan
The impact of computational speeds on imaging.

He showed layer after layer of detailed brain imaging done on the brain of TEDMED's Marc Hodosh. I actually saw Marc Hodosh in the house before the session started.  His brain is truly beautiful.

Many clinical fields will be disrupted.

Scans can now be to the cloud and stents for the heart can be 3D printed based on the scans.
Cheapest Android Tablet in India is $35 which gives more people access to the disruptive technologies.

There will be more power given to the patient, the concept of connected healthcare, with information dynamically shared with physicians, with patients managing their personal dashboard of medical data.

Physicians may one day prescribe apps with drugs or apps instead of drugs!

The gamification of health management, with incentives to help patients with compliance to prescriptions/recommendations.

Apps that can provide realtime feedback on patient progress - such as the use of wiii like apps for physical therapy and rehabilitation.  Kraft shows a video of a man doing range of motion exercises and a wiii like app following the movement.

Epidermal electronics
Vitals Dashboard.  Daniel Kraft's vitals live on screen.
Lab on a chip
Digital check up can happen anywhere
Home based diagnostics
New pacemakers all have IP addresses, which can be hacked!
There's always a dark side
Who owns the data?

AI or Artifical Intelligence
Many people might feel intimidated or threatened with the idea of AI so Kraft turned it around and decided to call is IA or Intelligence Augmentation

From the first FUTUREMED in 2011 - first FutureMed, the company Scanadu was born.
Scanaflo - do it yourself Urinalysis
2.4 Trillion Health Care Costs can be mitigated
Robots connected with the human brain such that quadriplegic can manipulate a robot to hand her a drink just by her thinking it.  Kraft shows a video a quadriplegic doing exactly that!  Its literally mind control movement!

Regenerative Medicine
Nobel Prize Winner who studies this space in the room!

Just how disruptive is 3D printing?
People missing part of their face because of cancer can have a 3D printed version of their face back!

Not just technology for technology's sake
Question: who is going to pay for it?

The MatterNet
Robot Drones - flying machines are unleashed into the conference space... they look like spaceships!  Check out the video I took below with my iPhone!

New Players Coming into the Healthcare Space
Big Open Data
New Startups
How about applying design thinking to Health Care
Checklist Manifesto
The world of Simulation
Next generation intensive care units
Google Glass allows people to see the environment around them different
the RADAR world
Crowd sourcing clinical trials
Map of a city can be created in a day with gathered crowdsourced driving information.

Integration of technologies, systems thinking, design thinking
continuous and proactive health care

Personalized Oncology
Leverage power of convergence
The future is already here.  Its just not evenly distributed!

Session 2/2:20PM

Peter Diamandis MD, Founder of the X-Prize, and Co-Founder of Singularity University is now up.
Exponential technologies are going to change the fabric of society
Human development over 150,000+ years was local and linear
We have fundamental cognitive biases as human beings to thinking local and linear because of our history.
Now we are global and exponential.
Flatline versus a hockey stick on a graph.
Power of tech doubling year on year
There is a great deal of disruptive stress /but also tremendous disruptive opportunity

Example of a Linear Thinking Company:

KODAK, 1996, Marketcap $28B
Employees:  140K
Kodak because of disruption (digital photography) went bankrupt
With employees shrinking to only 17,000

Instagram on the other hand, last April 2012
MarketCap: $1B
Employees: 13

If any field is going to be disrupted this decade, its health care.  Education is next.

Average lifetime of a company before disruption is 15 years unlike the decades of companies that started in the 20s.

Where is it all going, where is the overlap?

Singularity University focuses on training/supporting executives, medical students/graduate students

SU spends 5 weeks teaching exponential technologies
and challenging participants to solve the world's biggest problems and in so doing uncover the world's biggest business opportunities.

The SU challenge is to create companies that will impact a billion people (10 to the 9th power)

Diamandis announced the launch of Singularity University's Exponential Conferences

Every industry is being massively impacted by exponential technologies.
FUTUREMED conference is being renamed "Exponential Medicine" in its next incarnation

SU will soon be holding similar conferences called:
"Exponential Finance"
"Exponential Manufacturing"
and more coming

What does Exponential growth feel like?
take 30 linear steps vs. 30 exponential steps

26x around the earth
6D's of Exponentials
Anything that becomes digitized hops on exponential technology
(draw in a circle) digitized - deceptive - disruptive-dematierialize-demonetize-democratization.

3D has been around for 30 years, now its going to explode into the scene, impacting the trillion dollar manufacturing industry.

We no longer have flashlights, vynil record collections, or alarm clocks,  all of these have been dematerialized into the smartphone.

iTunes demonetized the music industry
Craigslist decimated the newspapers

1 billion mobile devices by 2016
Moore's Law - 5th paragidm of exponential growth
The rate at which computers are getting faster is itself getting faster
look at that and extend it

Have you considered a computer that will have the capacity of the processing power of the entire human race - have you ever thought of such a thing?  It is in fact possible and probably coming sooner than we think.

"Print me a Stradivarius"  cover story on 3D Printing
Google on the brain is not a disease but an app

Critical insight:  The only constant is change and the rate of change is increasing.

1st conclusion - you either disrupt your own company, or someone else will.  You must be constantly evolving your business. Standing still = death.

If you're depending on innovation solely from inside your company, you will lose.

Hyperconnected world.  How do you tap into data mining or the crowd to help us create more innovations.

Question:  How will you do this?

We are heading towards a world of Abundance

Diamandis's friends wondered if he was being too naive with the abundance mentality.

We are living in a day and age that media is a drug pusher, negative news 24 hours/day

Media outlets want attention so that's what they do; they produce shows that feature negative news or stories.

The amygdala  in the brain scans everything you see and imbibe looking for negative news.

Look at the number of stories positive to negative in a newspaper or over time
Economist June 2013 Story "Towards the End of Poverty"

"We are living in the most peaceful time ever. "
- Prof Steven Pinker

The decline of violence

Impact of exponential technologies have plummeted costs of operating in society.
Technology takes what is scarce and makes it abundant.
Rate and cost of solar dropping through the floor
In 50 years, we'll take 50 % of energy from the sun

Abundance:  Water
Dean Kamen's Slingshot: water puritification
Coca cola will produce and put a Slingshot one on every village - where?

Abundance:  Health and Education
I think Dr. Gordon Lee is in the house.

We've just crossed the 7 billion mark in global population

2 things proven to reduce a growth rate:  make people healthier and more educated

2010 - 2 billion people internet
2010 23%
2020 66%, 5 billion on internet, 3 billion new minds
create desire consume discover invent
tens of trillions of annual pp
greatest epic period of innovation (ever)

world of health care abundance

The single most beneficial thing you can do is to educate women.

Next X-Prize they are working aggressively on:  Global Literacy X prize
balance of men and women

What happens when people don't die anymore
Trillian dollar market place - longevity

Increase productivity of the world
tremendously beneficial

Salim Ismail
Global Ambassador, Founding ED
Singularity Univeristy @salimIsmail

Information Technologies.
hyperconnected world
heroes for this world
leaders around the world
i want to be like her
in a world that is dark and unconnected, all you had was previous generations
but now nothing is done in secrecy
women children who were oppressed in the past cannot be oppressed anymore

Singularity University is all about helping people reach their highest potential of being human.

Peter steps off stage

Session 3

Salim Ismail, Global Ambassador for Singularity University is now up.

He worked in Yahoo's incubator called Brickhouse.
We need to know when the immune system of the company is under attack
Large Printed Circuit Board photo of the 70s, that same space occupied by the first ever circuit boards can now host teraflops of information
He set up connection between SU and Nasa

Think about it, if you apply pace of change in something like semiconductors to automotive - cars today could be running faster than the speed of light.
By 2030, we will have 1 trillion connected devices in the world.
By looking at projections this far out, we are just actually in just the beginning of the information industry disruption, just the first 1%, there is so much more yet to come.

Facebook became a multi-billion dollar company by digitizing relationships.
Google also became a multi-billion dollar company by simply manipulating text.
The quick development and evolution of the billion dollar company is a phenomenon what wouldn't have been possible just a few years ago.

Singularity University's mission is to educate, inspire and empower leaders to understand and utilize exponentially advancing technologies to address humanity's grand challenges.

-at this point both my iPhone and Macbookpro went deadbatt and I had to write all my notes from this point on, needless to say the rest of the day covered tremendously important topics, especially with the talk of Dr. Eric Topol on "The Creative Destruction of Medicine" which touched a great deal on personalized medicine.  Will post notes on this blog later.  - Victoria Ferro